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What Stabilizing Mortgage Rates Mean for Buyers, Sellers, and Homeowners in 2025

November 18, 2024

As we move toward 2025, the U.S. housing market is showing signs of stability, particularly in mortgage rates. According to Freddie Mac data via the Federal Reserve, the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dipped slightly to 6.78% for the week ending November 14, 2024. While this is only a small change from the previous week’s 6.79%, it represents a positive trend for the housing market.

Experts suggest that stabilizing rates reduce uncertainty, creating a more predictable environment for buyers, sellers, and homeowners. Jessica Lautz, deputy chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, stated: “When rates are moving around a lot, it makes a lot of uncertainty in the market.”

Here’s a closer look at what this means for you:

1. Buyers: A Window of Opportunity

For those actively house-hunting, steady mortgage rates offer clarity when planning a purchase. With the winter season traditionally seeing less competition in the market, buyers have a chance to find better deals.

  • Why winter matters: Families with children are less likely to move mid-school year, which reduces competition.
  • What to watch: While rates aren’t expected to drop significantly into the 5% range, the stability in the 6% range offers consistency when planning your finances.

2. Sellers: Make Equity Work for You

Homeowners have benefited from record levels of home equity. In Q2 of 2024, U.S. homeowners with mortgages saw their net home equity rise to $17.6 trillion, an 8% increase from the previous year (CoreLogic). Sellers can leverage this equity to make larger down payments on their next property, helping to counteract higher borrowing costs.

3. Homeowners: Refinancing Could Be an Option

If you purchased your home when rates peaked at around 8% last year, now might be the time to refinance.

  • Why refinance? If current rates are 1-2 points lower than when you bought, refinancing could lower your monthly payments and save money over time.
  • Keep in mind: Refinancing comes with costs, including appraisal fees, title insurance, and closing costs, which can range from 2-6% of the loan amount, according to LendingTree economist Jacob Channel.

What’s Influencing Mortgage Rates?

While some believe political events like elections directly impact mortgage rates, the truth is more nuanced.

  • Key drivers: Mortgage rates closely track Treasury yields and are influenced by Federal Reserve policies. For instance, the 10-year Treasury yield recently surged to 4.43%, its highest since July, following economic growth expectations tied to government spending.
  • What’s ahead? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that future rate cuts depend on sustained economic growth. However, inflationary pressures could keep rates higher than anticipated.

What Experts Expect for 2025

According to Lautz, mortgage rates will likely remain within the 6% range as we move into next year. While some volatility is expected, experts predict that huge swings are unlikely.

What This Means for You

  • Buyers: Steady rates give you a chance to budget more effectively, and winter offers an opportunity to buy with less competition.
  • Sellers: Record equity means you can better position yourself financially for your next move.
  • Homeowners: If refinancing makes sense, it’s worth exploring, but weigh the costs and benefits carefully.

As Lautz says, “Even though rates are higher than they’ve been in recent years, this stabilization is probably good news for homebuyers.”

Navigating the housing market can be challenging, but understanding trends like mortgage rate stabilization can help you make informed decisions. Whether you’re buying, selling, or refinancing, the current landscape offers opportunities to achieve your real estate goals.

This article is based on insights shared by CNBC. Read the full story here.

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